The Moderating Effect of OPEC and Non-OPEC on the Relationship Between Oil Price Volatility and Accrual Earnings Management in the Oil and Gas Industry

  • Viveksarati Sandrasigaran Ph.D Scholar, Department of Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia
  • Jalila Binti Johari Department of Accounting and Finance, Universiti Putra Malaysia
  • Soh Wei Ni Department of Accounting and Finance, Universiti Putra Malaysia
  • Bany-Ariffin A.N Department of Accounting and Finance, Universiti Putra Malaysia
Keywords: Political Costs, Price Setter, Price Taker, Oil Price Volatility, Accrual Earnings Management

Abstract

This study is an empirical examination on the relationship between oil price volatility and earnings management in the oil and gas industry, moderated by price-setting abilities of OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Nations) and price taking abilities of Non-OPEC countries. This study tests discretionary, income-decreasing, current and non-current accruals as a proxy of earnings management. A total sample of 209 firm-year observations from 2008 to 2018 of listed oil and gas firm is collected from the Thomson Datastream database. To incorporate the moderation effect, the samples were divided into two sub-groups, OPEC and Non-OPEC using reserve to production ratio.  Firm attributes are included in the analysis as the constant variable such as leverage, current ratio, EBITDA and Growth. The initial results show that, overall, the interaction effect between OPEC/Non-OPEC and oil price volatility is positive and significant to discretionary and income-decreasing accruals. Data samples are limited while comparing OPEC and Non-OPEC countries as not every oil and gas company in OPEC are listed companies and their information is heavily protected. This study contributes to extant earnings management literature regarding political cost, which remains a significant concern to oil and gas companies worldwide.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Analytics Summary

References

Ashbaugh-Skaife, H., LaFond, R., & Mayhew, B (2003). Do non-audit services compromise auditor independence? Further evidence. The Accounting Review 78 (3): 217-250 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.2003.78.3.611

Brémond, V., Hache, E., Mignon, V. (2012). Does OPEC still exist as a cartel?. An empirical investigation. Energy Econ. 34, 125–131 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.03.010

Byard, D., Hossain, M. and Mitra, S. (2007), “US oil companies’ earnings management in response to hurricanes Katrina and Rita,” Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, Vol. 26 No. 6 pp. 733-748 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaccpubpol.2007.10.006

Cormier, D., and Magnan, M. (2003), “Performance reporting by oil and gas firms: contractual and value implications,” Journal of International Accounting, Auditing, and Taxation, Vol. 11 No. 2, pp. 131-153 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1061-9518(02)00071-X

Cremer, J.S., Isfahami, S. (1980). A Competitive Theory of the Oil Market: What Does OPEC Really Do? University of Pennsylvania. Working Paper No 80-4

Deegan, C. & Carroll, G. (1993). “An Analysis of Incentives for Australian Firms to Apply for Reporting Excellence Awards,” Accounting and Business Research, Vol. 23, No. 2, pp. 219–227 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00014788.1993.9729881

Deegan, C. & Hallam, A. (1991). “The Voluntary Presentation of Value Added Statements in Australia: A Political Cost Perspective,” Accounting and Finance, Vol. 31, No. 1, pp. 1–21 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-629X.1991.tb00250.x

Dees, S., Karadeloglou, P., Kaufmann, R.K., Sanchez, M. (2007). Modeling the world oil market: assessment of a quarterly econometric model. Energy Policy 35,179–191 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.10.017

EIA.(2019), Oil: Crude and petroleum explained- Oil Prices and Outlook https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/prices-and-outlook.php

Ezzati, A. (1976). Future OPEC price and production strategies as affected by its capacity to absorb oil revenues. Eur. Econ. Rev. 8, 107-138 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(76)90008-8

Fattouh, B., Mahadeva, L. (2013). OPEC: what difference has it made? Ann. Rev. Resour. Econ. 5, 427–443 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-091912-151901

Florini, A. and Sovacool, B. K. (2009) Who governs energy? The challenges facing global energy governance. Energy Policy, 37, 5239–5248 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.039

Golombek, G., Irarrazabal, A.A., and Ma, L. (2018). OPEC's market power: An empirical dominant firm model for the oil market. Energy Economics, 70, 98-115 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2017.11.009

Han, J. and Wang, S. (1998), “Political costs and earnings management of oil companies during the 1990 Persian Gulf Crisis”, The Accounting Review, Vol. 73 No. 1, pp. 103-117

Holthausen, R. W. & Leftwich, R. W., (1983) “The Economic Consequences of Accounting Choice: Implications of Costly Contracting and Monitoring,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 5, August, pp. 77–117 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-4101(83)90007-1

Hotelling, H., 1931. The economics of exhaustible resources. J. Polit. Econ. 39 (2), 137–175 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/254195

Hochman, G., & Zilberman, D. (2011). The political economy of OPEC

Hsiao, D., Hu, Y. & Lin, J.W. (2016). The earnings management opportunity for US oil and gas firms during the 2011 Arab Spring event. Pacific Accounting Review, 28(1), 71-91. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/PAR-03-2014-0013

Kaufmann, R.K., Bradford, A., Belanger, L.H., Mclaughlin, J.P., Miki, Y., (2008). Determinants of OPEC production: implications for OPEC behavior. Energy Econ. 30, 333–351. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2007.04.003

Kothari, S., Leone, A. and Wasley, C. (2005), “Performance matched discretionary accruals measures,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 39 No. 1, pp. 163-197 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2004.11.002

Kurdi, A. (2010), “Regulations and political costs in the oil and gas industry: an investigation of discretion in reporting earnings and oil and gas reserves estimates,” Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of North Texas

Lemon, A. J. & Cahan, S. F., (1997) “Environmental Legislation and Environmental Disclosures: Some Evidence from New Zealand,” Asian Review of Accounting, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 78–105 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/eb060683

Martina, E., Rodriguez, E., Escarela-Perez, R. and Alvarez-Ramirez, J. (2011) Multiscale entropy analysis of crude oil price dynamics. Energy Economics, 33, 936–947 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.03.012

McKinsey Energy Insights. (2018). “Refinery Reference Desk: Call on OPEC Capacity.” https://www.mckinseyenergyinsights.com/resources/refinery-reference-desk/call-on-opec-capacity/.

Panchapakesan, S. & McKinnon, J., (1992) “Proxies for Political Visibility: A Preliminary Examination of the Relation Among Some Potential Proxies,” Accounting Research Journal, Spring, pp. 71–80

Rahman, R. A., Ali, F. H. M., (2006). Board, Audit Committee, Culture, and Earnings Management: Malaysian Evidence. Managerial Auditing

Journal, 21(7), 783-804

Reza, A.M. (1984). “The price of oil and conflict in OPEC.” Energy Journal 5: 29–33. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol5-No2-2

Sekaran, U. (2003), Research methodology for business

Teece, D. (1982). OPEC behavior: an alternative view. In: Griffin, J.M. (Ed).., OPEC Behavior and World Oil Prices. Allen & Unwin, London

von der Fehr, Nils-Henrik M. (2010) Leader, or just dominant? The dominant-firm model revisited, Memorandum, No. 2010,15, University of Oslo, Department of Economics, Oslo

Watts. R.L. & Zimmerman. J.L., (1978), “Towards a Positive Theory of the Determination of Accounting Standards,” The Accounting Review, Vol. 53, No 1, pp. 112-134

Watts. R.L. & Zimmerman. J.L., (1986), Positive Accounting Theory, Prentice-Hall, London

Zmijewski, M.E., and Hagerman, R.L., (1981), “An Income Strategy Approach to the Positive Theory of Accounting Standard Setting Choice,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 3, pp. 129-149 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-4101(81)90010-0

Published
2020-03-31
How to Cite
Sandrasigaran, V., Jalila Binti Johari, Soh Wei Ni, & Bany-Ariffin A.N. (2020). The Moderating Effect of OPEC and Non-OPEC on the Relationship Between Oil Price Volatility and Accrual Earnings Management in the Oil and Gas Industry. Journal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies, 6(1), 283-300. https://doi.org/10.26710/jafee.v6i1.994